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Post by nevadaballin on Sept 8, 2016 9:27:26 GMT -5
So barring a late rush of Bronco Believers it looks like the TGC pick is the Panthers -3. I will take the poll down an hour before game time and the team with the most votes is the TGCT official pick. I use bet365 and the $10 wager will pay $18.70 Not that I don't have faith in you guys but I was hoping we could have some fun with this and make it a Thursday night tradition. So I also bet 10 on the Broncos (paying 19.50) to offset the possible loss. This way I can keep this going at minimal cost to me until we can hit a hot streak! Now for my personal picks Cinnci -2.5 Giants -1.0 Packers -4.5 Colts -3.5 And...the Titans +2.5 I also threw an extra $20 on the titans. Think we'll have just enough to grind out a win. Lots of Vikes fans here in Winnipeg, some of them i even call friends, so drinks will be rolling Sunday morning! Did the Broncos bet come with a change on the point spread to try to middle it? If not, then there isn't an offset because you gave up the juice for a guaranteed loss of money (bet $20 to get back either 18.70 or 19.50). I'll be watching the spread as the game gets closer to kickoff to see if the line moves but considering I'm at -3 instead of -2.5 or -3.5, there isn't a good reason to take Denver if it moves. I like to try to it the middle on games if there's movement in the line but need to have that half point on the original bet and the move needs to go to the next half point. Otherwise, just giving money away with zero chance of winning. |
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Post by titaneddie on Sept 8, 2016 9:38:12 GMT -5
So barring a late rush of Bronco Believers it looks like the TGC pick is the Panthers -3. I will take the poll down an hour before game time and the team with the most votes is the TGCT official pick. I use bet365 and the $10 wager will pay $18.70 Not that I don't have faith in you guys but I was hoping we could have some fun with this and make it a Thursday night tradition. So I also bet 10 on the Broncos (paying 19.50) to offset the possible loss. This way I can keep this going at minimal cost to me until we can hit a hot streak! Now for my personal picks Cinnci -2.5 Giants -1.0 Packers -4.5 Colts -3.5 And...the Titans +2.5 I also threw an extra $20 on the titans. Think we'll have just enough to grind out a win. Lots of Vikes fans here in Winnipeg, some of them i even call friends, so drinks will be rolling Sunday morning! Did the Broncos bet come with a change on the point spread to try to middle it? If not, then there isn't an offset because you gave up the juice for a guaranteed loss of money (bet $20 to get back either 18.70 or 19.50). I'll be watching the spread as the game gets closer to kickoff to see if the line moves but considering I'm at -3 instead of -2.5 or -3.5, there isn't a good reason to take Denver if it moves. I like to try to it the middle on games if there's movement in the line but need to have that half point on the original bet and the move needs to go to the next half point. Otherwise, just giving money away with zero chance of winning. Yeah I'm just taking the loss in hopes of building the "TGC Account" if that makes sense. I didn't want a one week thing and I also didn't feel like throwing away $10 here every week lol. So if I lose a little change at the start till we can win no big deal. |
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Post by marino313131 on Sept 8, 2016 9:55:57 GMT -5
ATL -3 vs TB is the easiest money of the week. Julio will destroy Grimes & the rookie. Book it
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Post by titaneddie on Sept 8, 2016 9:59:33 GMT -5
ATL -3 vs TB is the easiest money of the week. Julio will destroy Grimes & the rookie. Book it Yeah, the more I look and think about that game I like that pick more and more. |
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Post by nevadaballin on Sept 8, 2016 11:52:30 GMT -5
Did the Broncos bet come with a change on the point spread to try to middle it? If not, then there isn't an offset because you gave up the juice for a guaranteed loss of money (bet $20 to get back either 18.70 or 19.50). I'll be watching the spread as the game gets closer to kickoff to see if the line moves but considering I'm at -3 instead of -2.5 or -3.5, there isn't a good reason to take Denver if it moves. I like to try to it the middle on games if there's movement in the line but need to have that half point on the original bet and the move needs to go to the next half point. Otherwise, just giving money away with zero chance of winning. Yeah I'm just taking the loss in hopes of building the "TGC Account" if that makes sense. I didn't want a one week thing and I also didn't feel like throwing away $10 here every week lol. So if I lose a little change at the start till we can win no big deal. Not enough faith in the Panthers eh? lol |
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Post by nevadaballin on Sept 8, 2016 12:00:47 GMT -5
ATL -3 vs TB is the easiest money of the week. Julio will destroy Grimes & the rookie. Book it I dunno. Bucs beat them twice last year and I think they have improved more than Atlanta has in the off-season. But, it's a division game and these teams know each other well. This game will be won on the ground I think. Doug Martin vs Devonta Freeman and their respective OLines. If I HAD to make a pick in this game, I would go with TB getting a FG. |
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Post by marino313131 on Sept 8, 2016 13:52:26 GMT -5
It's basically a pick-me as far as Vegas is considered. Home team always gets 3. I see a high scoring passing game being more likely than run heavy but we'll just have to find out Sunday. IMO TB secondary is not good. Grimes consistently got beat last year & Hargraves is talented but he's still a rookie. Just my take
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Post by nevadaballin on Sept 8, 2016 14:27:50 GMT -5
It's basically a pick-me as far as Vegas is considered. Home team always gets 3. I see a high scoring passing game being more likely than run heavy but we'll just have to find out Sunday. IMO TB secondary is not good. Grimes consistently got beat last year & Hargraves is talented but he's still a rookie. Just my take I worked for Harrah's Tahoe sportsbook for quite a few years when I first moved to Nevada. The obligatory opening -3 is still 3 points on the ticket that the bettor has to deal with. That's how I've always looked at, especially with division games because they can be such close battles. I expect it to be a good game though, I'll certainly be checking it out with NFL Sunday Ticket on the Playstation 4. Can't get a dish installed where I live so I qualify for the mobile sign up which includes PS4/XB1, smart phone and computer. |
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Post by Giraffe72 on Sept 8, 2016 16:36:07 GMT -5
ATL -3 vs TB is the easiest money of the week. Julio will destroy Grimes & the rookie. Book it Winston stomped all over Atlanta last year and he's a year better now. I've got the Bucs in my Acca, nailed on!  |
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Post by Giraffe72 on Sept 8, 2016 16:56:11 GMT -5
OK, put my Acca on, no spread betting, just straight wins: Browns to beat the Eagles Titans over Vikings Bucs over Falcons Colts over Lions Giants over Cowboys And optimistically, Fins over Seahawks A quid at 163/1  I've also done a more sensible bet of the above without the Dolphins at 35/1, I live in hope! Woop woop, football season is back! #UKFins |
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Post by titaneddie on Sept 8, 2016 17:13:54 GMT -5
All right, it seems he TGC tours people have spoken and we're going with the:
Carolina Panthers -3
It will pay $18.70 and let's hope we can double this up next week!
But love hearing everyone's bets Good stuff.
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Post by coruler2 on Sept 8, 2016 19:01:25 GMT -5
ATL -3 vs TB is the easiest money of the week. Julio will destroy Grimes & the rookie. Book it True- Matt Ryan usually doesn't start sucking until about week 7 |
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Post by coruler2 on Sept 8, 2016 19:03:55 GMT -5
Just for the community- I've got $225 on Chargers under 7 wins this year. Their D is horrible, and their division is still tough. Rivers is an end of game choker. If they win 8 games this year I will be very shocked
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Post by titaneddie on Sept 8, 2016 23:29:11 GMT -5
Ah, tough one. Thought we were going to go away with this one. Looks like misternic knew what he was talking about. We'll get in the win column next week.
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Post by nevadaballin on Sept 8, 2016 23:40:33 GMT -5
What a great game to open the season. Siemian was really impressive, didn't expect that at all.
Someone needs to check Cam for a concussion, he took some serious shots to the head throughout the game.
Now I have to get a new ticket together for Sunday lol.
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