Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 13, 2015 11:21:03 GMT -5
Yeah I picked a bad week to give up heroin!
I did call this week to go lowest yet, sadly my prediction is a little off presently by 7 strokes, but still lowest yet.
Europe next week depending on the field has a shot at blowing all the records out of the water.
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Post by daddyjules on Feb 13, 2015 12:31:39 GMT -5
Yeah will defo be a low one! Easy greens and fairly short!
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onhobobobohno
Weekend Golfer
Posts: 123
TGCT Name: Darren Rutherford
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Post by onhobobobohno on Feb 13, 2015 12:37:33 GMT -5
O/U: Over 58.5 Cut: -17 Winner: Roddy Mac
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Post by nevadaballin on Feb 13, 2015 14:09:48 GMT -5
You do not need name the player in a field bet, you can, but any player picked not on the list will be a field bet.
Yep, I know what a field bet is. I live in Nevada and worked in a sports book for 8 years. I know this more than I care to admit lol. A field bet at even money is just wrong. That's saying that "everyone else" are favored are favored over those who ARE favored. It doesn't make sense lol. A field bet covers all those who are not favorites/individually listed and have much longer odds - WAYYYYY longer than even money. Even money makes it "everyone else" the favorite and the favorites as underdogs to "everyone else".
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Post by misternic on Feb 13, 2015 14:16:23 GMT -5
You do not need name the player in a field bet, you can, but any player picked not on the list will be a field bet.
Yep, I know what a field bet is. I live in Nevada and worked in a sports book for 8 years. I know this more than I care to admit lol. A field bet at even money is just wrong. That's saying that "everyone else" are favored are favored over those who ARE favored. It doesn't make sense lol. A field bet covers all those who are not favorites/individually listed and have much longer odds - WAYYYYY longer than even money. Even money makes it "everyone else" the favorite and the favorites as underdogs to "everyone else". ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ We may tweak that in weeks ahead, but we only break out 8 or so players. History has told us we are as likely for somone not in those 8 to win as we are in one of the "favorites" winning. Vegas gives us 60 players with odds, then has the field 30-1 because EVERYONE with a realistic chance has indiv. odds. A LOT of people are still taking the field on this thread (despite the low odds), meaning either they are not savvy gamblers OR there is a lot of belief in "other" players. This pick em challenge will evolve but I bet we see a lot of "field" winners.
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Post by MrSourNinja on Feb 13, 2015 14:22:56 GMT -5
Winner Under -58.5 Cut -17 Winner - Scott Doyley
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Post by NCFCRulz on Feb 13, 2015 15:31:43 GMT -5
What happens if your selection to win crosses over?
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Feb 13, 2015 15:32:37 GMT -5
What happens if your selection to win crosses over? then you wasted your pick! edit: i propose in that case, your bet should automatically go to "the field"
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Post by nevadaballin on Feb 13, 2015 15:59:20 GMT -5
Yep, I know what a field bet is. I live in Nevada and worked in a sports book for 8 years. I know this more than I care to admit lol. A field bet at even money is just wrong. That's saying that "everyone else" are favored are favored over those who ARE favored. It doesn't make sense lol. A field bet covers all those who are not favorites/individually listed and have much longer odds - WAYYYYY longer than even money. Even money makes it "everyone else" the favorite and the favorites as underdogs to "everyone else". ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ We may tweak that in weeks ahead, but we only break out 8 or so players. History has told us we are as likely for somone not in those 8 to win as we are in one of the "favorites" winning. Vegas gives us 60 players with odds, then has the field 30-1 because EVERYONE with a realistic chance has indiv. odds. A LOT of people are still taking the field on this thread (despite the low odds), meaning either they are not savvy gamblers OR there is a lot of belief in "other" players. This pick em challenge will evolve but I bet we see a lot of "field" winners. Yea, i understand where you are coming from. Let me think on it and see if I can come up with something that may help a little
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Post by nevadaballin on Feb 13, 2015 17:37:43 GMT -5
Since this would take a huge amount of statistical data on how well each player performs on each course, it's near impossible to get right. But a watered down version would work if the World Rankings were used as a baseline. I would do it in groups of 5. Example:
Ranked 1-5 .... people in this group are even money. 6-10 .......... 1.5 to 1 11-15 ......... 2 to 1 16-20 ......... 3 to 1 21 - 25 ....... 4 to 1 26-30 ......... 5 to 1
Remaining field at 10 to 1.
I think that's the best that can done with little data (and even less time to evaluate the data if we did have it lol).
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Post by misternic on Feb 13, 2015 17:39:58 GMT -5
What happens if your selection to win crosses over? It would revert to field. FYI, only players already registered for the PGA event were given individual odds. So they would have to withdraw as well.
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roddymacd
Weekend Golfer
Posts: 137
TGCT Name: Roddy macdougall
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Post by roddymacd on Feb 13, 2015 18:33:25 GMT -5
Winner -58.5 Cut -17 Winner field
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mes5107
Caddy
Posts: 48
TGCT Name: David Messier
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Post by mes5107 on Feb 13, 2015 20:25:32 GMT -5
Winner: Under -58.5 Cut: -17 Winner: Tyler Harris
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xusemagru
Weekend Golfer
Posts: 115
TGCT Name: Ryan O'Donnell
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Post by xusemagru on Feb 13, 2015 23:08:10 GMT -5
Winner: Over 58.5 Cut: -17 Winner: Myself. I have been out of action for months(like august) but i have played the last two weeks and the game is coming back to me and i am ready to return back to where i belong
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 13, 2015 23:30:39 GMT -5
30 minutes to cut-off
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