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Post by Deleted on Apr 20, 2017 8:25:58 GMT -5
Thursday Morning 7 AM Watcher's Report Watcher Safe Zone - 14 under 13 under - 97% - No Change12 under - 83% - Down 1%11 under - 48% - Down 5%10 under - 21% - Down 7%9 under - CUT Projected Cut Line - Hell if I know Comments: With the bell curve hovering between 14 and 16 under yesterday morning, I have no idea what to make of guys at 10 under still in it. I'm expecting a whole bunch of unregistered PGA players to yell "Surprise" at 11:59 PM and blow half the field out of the water and send me hurtling back down to Web with one crushing blow. But, if this is a normal tour and a normal week, 12 under makes it in without breaking a sweat and 11 under has a decent chance. Those of you who have been here a while probably know how this will play out better than I do. You've got the numbers. You tell me. Next report at 5 PM. I'd say -12 is definitely safe as 23 need to beat them. I don't recall a flood of late registrations happening every week, but out of those that had registered typically 9 or so never enter their scores and get the DQ/WD. -11 will be sweating it out for sure.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 20, 2017 8:40:30 GMT -5
Guess I wont be crossing over next week afterall
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bearfan3417
Weekend Golfer
Posts: 95
TGCT Name: Logan Beilke
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Post by bearfan3417 on Apr 20, 2017 9:22:17 GMT -5
Are we really going to have the immortal wagtunes up here with us for good? #wow
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Post by Deleted on Apr 20, 2017 9:31:05 GMT -5
Are we really going to have the immortal wagtunes up here with us for good? #wow Don't worry Logan, you won't even know I'm here outside of the Watcher's Reports. Believe me, I'm less thrilled about me being here than you are.
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bearfan3417
Weekend Golfer
Posts: 95
TGCT Name: Logan Beilke
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Post by bearfan3417 on Apr 20, 2017 9:34:30 GMT -5
Are we really going to have the immortal wagtunes up here with us for good? #wow Don't worry Logan, you won't even know I'm here outside of the Watcher's Reports. Believe me, I'm less thrilled about me being here than you are. Oh I am happy for you man. You grinded this game long enough. You deserve to be up here!
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Post by blueorfe on Apr 20, 2017 14:52:52 GMT -5
Just walked off the course feeling pretty frustrated! 61,59,60,62 for a -46 total. Probably good enough for a top 3-5 I guess? To say that I left a few out there is a bit of an understatement! I didn't really get the rub of the green this week, last week I got more than my fair share though Round 1 - Got off to a great start, just didn't get enough nice bounces after that, fringes aplenty I missed a couple short ones too. Round 2 - Got off to a terrible start, but rallied after that. Wind kept messing with me on my downswing! 59 is a good score though Round 3 - 60 isn't too bad. But I seemed to mess up the easy holes and birdie the more difficult ones? Round 4 - Made too many mental errors. "whatever you do don't be short" I'd come up a yard short and end up 25 feet away! "leave it below the hole you've got a straight putt" I'd smash it past the hole and leave a beast of a putt or chip! Really should have been at least 59 there. The course was fun to play, I enjoyed the challenge of it for the most part. Some pins were a little silly though! Good luck all still to go out or to finish
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Post by catcherman22 on Apr 20, 2017 15:06:02 GMT -5
Just walked off the course feeling pretty frustrated! 61,59,60,62 for a -46 total. Probably good enough for a top 3-5 I guess? To say that I left a few out there is a bit of an understatement! I didn't really get the rub of the green this week, last week I got more than my fair share though Round 1 - Got off to a great start, just didn't get enough nice bounces after that, fringes aplenty I missed a couple short ones too. Round 2 - Got off to a terrible start, but rallied after that. Wind kept messing with me on my downswing! 59 is a good score though Round 3 - 60 isn't too bad. But I seemed to mess up the easy holes and birdie the more difficult ones? Round 4 - Made too many mental errors. "whatever you do don't be short" I'd come up a yard short and end up 25 feet away! "leave it below the hole you've got a straight putt" I'd smash it past the hole and leave a beast of a putt or chip! Really should have been at least 59 there. The course was fun to play, I enjoyed the challenge of it for the most part. Some pins were a little silly though! Good luck all still to go out or to finish Ding Ding Ding we have a winner
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Post by JeffJeter on Apr 20, 2017 15:14:38 GMT -5
Just walked off the course feeling pretty frustrated! 61,59,60,62 for a -46 total. Probably good enough for a top 3-5 I guess? To say that I left a few out there is a bit of an understatement! I didn't really get the rub of the green this week, last week I got more than my fair share though Round 1 - Got off to a great start, just didn't get enough nice bounces after that, fringes aplenty I missed a couple short ones too. Round 2 - Got off to a terrible start, but rallied after that. Wind kept messing with me on my downswing! 59 is a good score though Round 3 - 60 isn't too bad. But I seemed to mess up the easy holes and birdie the more difficult ones? Round 4 - Made too many mental errors. "whatever you do don't be short" I'd come up a yard short and end up 25 feet away! "leave it below the hole you've got a straight putt" I'd smash it past the hole and leave a beast of a putt or chip! Really should have been at least 59 there. The course was fun to play, I enjoyed the challenge of it for the most part. Some pins were a little silly though! Good luck all still to go out or to finish haven't heard of a score better......could be another win
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Post by blueorfe on Apr 20, 2017 16:56:04 GMT -5
haven't heard of a score better......could be another win catcherman22 It would be nice, but there's a certain blue fella from Ireland at the top of the leaderboard after two, who isn't too bad at this game Then there's Brian, Nathan and Tyler still to start. So I'll stick to my estimate of a top 3-5
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Post by Deleted on Apr 20, 2017 17:39:13 GMT -5
Thursday Early Evening Watcher's Report
Watcher Safe Zone - 12 under
11 under - 42%
10 under - CUT
Projected Cut Line - 12 under
Comments: That's about it folks. Not much left to watch. Surprised at how this one played out. 11 under still has a shot but I wouldn't bet money on it.
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Post by dorksirjur on Apr 20, 2017 17:46:56 GMT -5
haven't heard of a score better......could be another win catcherman22 It would be nice, but there's a certain blue fella from Ireland at the top of the leaderboard after two, who isn't too bad at this game Then there's Brian, Nathan and Tyler still to start. So I'll stick to my estimate of a top 3-5 Smurf won't win sh%$ mate, he's a spent force. Obsolete
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Post by catcherman22 on Apr 20, 2017 18:48:13 GMT -5
Thursday Early Evening Watcher's Report Watcher Safe Zone - 12 under 11 under - 42%10 under - CUT Projected Cut Line - 12 under Comments: That's about it folks. Not much left to watch. Surprised at how this one played out. 11 under still has a shot but I wouldn't bet money on it. At this point... I'd put -11 at 85%.. I just don't see the scores there to knock out the -11's.
I am shocked it's not lower though... especially with the 1st round scores that were posted.
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Post by THESerenity21 on Apr 20, 2017 19:33:11 GMT -5
Finally got to RD 2. Sitting at -21 and knowing it should've been better. Had some really bad breaks during those first two rounds and some lip outs which sucked but everyone has those. Looking forward to the final two rounds.
Honestly, this course plays really well. Some pins are difficult but fair. Props to the creator.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 20, 2017 20:45:20 GMT -5
Thursday Early Evening Watcher's Report Watcher Safe Zone - 12 under 11 under - 42%10 under - CUT Projected Cut Line - 12 under Comments: That's about it folks. Not much left to watch. Surprised at how this one played out. 11 under still has a shot but I wouldn't bet money on it. At this point... I'd put -11 at 85%.. I just don't see the scores there to knock out the -11's.
I am shocked it's not lower though... especially with the 1st round scores that were posted.
Right now, there are 13 players who have yet to post any scores whatsoever. There are only 3 slots left for the 11 under group before they are knocked out. Divide 3 by 13 and it's 23%, by pure mathematics. You can guess at any percentage you like. But a mathematician will tell you that right now they sit at 23% at best and that's assuming the guy at 3 under for round 1 isn't going to realistically shoot 9 under. I deal with pure numbers. Nothing more, nothing less.
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Post by Generic_Casual on Apr 20, 2017 21:00:32 GMT -5
I just want to throw a shoutout to @wagtunes. I'm proud of you, sir. I read a bunch of posts with bashing and whatnot and it was horrible. Kudos to you, man. We are a community and should all be afforded the same courtesies. You might think I'm dicking around, but I'm not. We are here to help one another. Not bring others down. Well played, Steven. You've earned it. #wagtunes 😏😏😏
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