|
Post by golferdude1994 on Apr 4, 2020 12:52:39 GMT -5
Does anyone know of a good website which illustrates the United States Corona curve? Can't seem to find one and I want to see one as I hope I can extrapolate data.
|
|
|
Post by Cecil Harvey on Apr 4, 2020 20:17:17 GMT -5
Does anyone know of a good website which illustrates the United States Corona curve? Can't seem to find one and I want to see one as I hope I can extrapolate data.
You can scroll down on those to see charts and the U.S. one will give you individual states as well.
Hope this helps your craving of information.
|
|
|
Post by golferdude1994 on Apr 4, 2020 21:13:11 GMT -5
Does anyone know of a good website which illustrates the United States Corona curve? Can't seem to find one and I want to see one as I hope I can extrapolate data.
You can scroll down on those to see charts and the U.S. one will give you individual states as well.
Hope this helps your craving of information.
Perfect thanks Bob! From the data of the United States cases and seeing that the curve is starting to flatten a bit as evidence of your website link, I predict that the United States will flatline around April 16th. Assuming we are on a traditional bell curve, by May 1st, we will have half of the cases that we currently have today as we stand on April 4th and by May 15th, normalcy will begin to settle in and non-essential entities will begin to open. Just six more weeks gentlemen and essentially two weeks until we plateau. So we are almost out of the woods boys
|
|
|
Post by Timbr0_T on Apr 4, 2020 23:29:04 GMT -5
That is possibly on the optimistic side of predictions but we'll see. In a perfect situation with strong leadership and social cohesion, I could see it happening. But the US is so dysfunctional and unhealthy I worry this may go on for another few months at least. Not to mention a possible second wave next fall/winter.
I think one of the big challenges to control the spread will be compliance exhaustion. Social distancing and isolation is manageable for a short time but in a couple months? People will feel the pressure of putting food on the table and the longing to interact with others..
These are crazy times. Hopefully people pay attention to science,exercise good common sense and show respect for their fellow earthlings so we can get back to normal asap.
|
|
|
Post by golferdude1994 on Apr 5, 2020 3:10:23 GMT -5
Another sign for good news is that today Governor Cuomo announced that New York, the epicenter of the virus in the U.S. will peak in the next 4-8, before the April 16th average. Several bright spots.
|
|
|
Post by cliffs on Apr 5, 2020 6:24:05 GMT -5
I tend to not believe any date predictions. Remember in January we were told this would not be a big deal by those shouting from the roof tops that this is nothing but the flu/common cold and would be gone by spring. 3 weeks in and it is getting worse not disappearing.
|
|
|
Post by 15eicheltower9 on Apr 5, 2020 6:44:47 GMT -5
Another sign for good news is that today Governor Cuomo announced that New York, the epicenter of the virus in the U.S. will peak in the next 4-8, before the April 16th average. Several bright spots. NYC might peak in 4-8 which is, I think, what his barometer has been, but just from what I've been observing it might be a little longer on my side of the state. I went to get essentials yesterday and a family of 3 with a toddler were shopping together. Even though the cases in Erie county were skyrocketing, and small towns were getting positive tests (mine included: pop. 5000) some people still aren't respecting the severity. So on a state level I'd expect it to be at the high end of that prediction, or longer.
|
|
|
Post by cliffs on Apr 5, 2020 7:52:00 GMT -5
To go along with my last post here is an eye opener. Pandemics through the ages....how many lasted only months? 1. Prehistoric epidemic: Circa 3000 B.C. 2. Plague of Athens: 430 B.C. 3. Antonine Plague: A.D. 165-180 4. Plague of Cyprian: A.D. 250-271 5. Plague of Justinian: A.D. 541-542 6. The Black Death: 1346-1353 7. Cocoliztli epidemic: 1545-1548 8. American Plagues: 16th century 9. Great Plague of London: 1665-1666 10. Great Plague of Marseille: 1720-1723 11. Russian plague: 1770-1772 12. Philadelphia yellow fever epidemic: 1793 13. Flu pandemic: 1889-1890 14. American polio epidemic: 1916 15. Spanish Flu: 1918-1920 16. Asian Flu: 1957-1958 17. AIDS pandemic and epidemic: 1981-present day 18. H1N1 Swine Flu pandemic: 2009-2010 19. West African Ebola epidemic: 2014-2016 20. Zika Virus epidemic: 2015-present day www.livescience.com/worst-epidemics-and-pandemics-in-history.html
|
|
|
Post by cliffs on Apr 5, 2020 7:58:52 GMT -5
This is over the top paranoia...
Kim Prather, a leading atmospheric chemist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, wants to yell out her window at every surfer, runner, and biker she spots along the San Diego coast.
“I wouldn't go in the water if you paid me $1 million right now,” she said.
The beach, in her estimation, is one of the most dangerous places to be these days, as the novel coronavirus marches silently across California.
Many beachgoers know they can suffer skin rashes, stomach illness and serious ear and respiratory infections if they go into the water within three days of a heavy rain, because of bacteria and pathogens washing off roads and into the ocean. Raw or poorly treated sewage entering the ocean also poses major health risks.
Prather fears that SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, could enter coastal waters in similar ways and transfer back into the air along the coast.
|
|
|
Post by unclevirt on Apr 5, 2020 9:10:35 GMT -5
That is possibly on the optimistic side of predictions but we'll see. In a perfect situation with strong leadership and social cohesion, I could see it happening. But the US is so dysfunctional and unhealthy I worry this may go on for another few months at least. Not to mention a possible second wave next fall/winter. I think one of the big challenges to control the spread will be compliance exhaustion. Social distancing and isolation is manageable for a short time but in a couple months? People will feel the pressure of putting food on the table and the longing to interact with others.. These are crazy times. Hopefully people pay attention to science,exercise good common sense and show respect for their fellow earthlings so we can get back to normal asap. I agree with everything here. However, in regards to your second point, places are still having large gatherings and having to be shut down. I'm left wondering what it would take for EVERYONE to practice the recommended guidelines....
|
|
|
Post by catcherman22 on Apr 5, 2020 11:34:40 GMT -5
That is possibly on the optimistic side of predictions but we'll see. In a perfect situation with strong leadership and social cohesion, I could see it happening. But the US is so dysfunctional and unhealthy I worry this may go on for another few months at least. Not to mention a possible second wave next fall/winter. I think one of the big challenges to control the spread will be compliance exhaustion. Social distancing and isolation is manageable for a short time but in a couple months? People will feel the pressure of putting food on the table and the longing to interact with others.. These are crazy times. Hopefully people pay attention to science,exercise good common sense and show respect for their fellow earthlings so we can get back to normal asap. I agree with everything here. However, in regards to your second point, places are still having large gatherings and having to be shut down. I'm left wondering what it would take for EVERYONE to practice the recommended guidelines.... Martial Law
|
|
|
Post by golferdude1994 on Apr 5, 2020 11:39:42 GMT -5
To go along with my last post here is an eye opener. Pandemics through the ages....how many lasted only months? 1. Prehistoric epidemic: Circa 3000 B.C. 2. Plague of Athens: 430 B.C. 3. Antonine Plague: A.D. 165-180 4. Plague of Cyprian: A.D. 250-271 5. Plague of Justinian: A.D. 541-542 6. The Black Death: 1346-1353 7. Cocoliztli epidemic: 1545-1548 8. American Plagues: 16th century 9. Great Plague of London: 1665-1666 10. Great Plague of Marseille: 1720-1723 11. Russian plague: 1770-1772 12. Philadelphia yellow fever epidemic: 1793 13. Flu pandemic: 1889-1890 14. American polio epidemic: 1916 15. Spanish Flu: 1918-1920 16. Asian Flu: 1957-1958 17. AIDS pandemic and epidemic: 1981-present day 18. H1N1 Swine Flu pandemic: 2009-2010 19. West African Ebola epidemic: 2014-2016 20. Zika Virus epidemic: 2015-present day www.livescience.com/worst-epidemics-and-pandemics-in-history.htmlYeah but how many cases of Zika is present today or how many cases of Ebola were there in 2016? I would not consider those pandemics either other than when they 1st emerged in 2014 and 2015 respectively. Sure the coronavirus might linger for a few years but the severity will be exponentially less and will turn into the psudoflu or psudoillness.
|
|
|
Post by golferdude1994 on Apr 5, 2020 11:47:49 GMT -5
Basically what I am gathering here is that optimism and positive futures go out the window, huh? I am not taking this situation any less seriously than most; in fact I have been hinging on the side of most cautious. I am not seeing my older relatives and am only leaving my house once a week for groceries, but let's try to be positive here and look at the numbers of Corona as a stand alone case and not past trends of other pandemics. I double majored in both accounting and economics with a minor in finance. Analysing trends of numbers and projecting bell curves from a sample of data is my forte. I am not saying to lose vigilance in this situation, in fact these next two weeks are the most testing thus far, but in 5-6 weeks you all will probably be pleasantly surprised how much progress has been made.
|
|
|
Post by unclevirt on Apr 5, 2020 12:15:40 GMT -5
Basically what I am gathering here is that optimism and positive futures go out the window, huh? I am not taking this situation any less seriously than most; in fact I have been hinging on the side of most cautious. I am not seeing my older relatives and am only leaving my house once a week for groceries, but let's try to be positive here and look at the numbers of Corona as a stand alone case and not past trends of other pandemics. I double majored in both accounting and economics with a minor in finance. Analysing trends of numbers and projecting bell curves from a sample of data is my forte. I am not saying to lose vigilance in this situation, in fact these next two weeks are the most testing thus far, but in 5-6 weeks you all will probably be pleasantly surprised how much progress has been made. I love the optimism. I think it's needed desperately. I am optimistic that what you say is true if everyone is practicing the necessary guidelines.
|
|
|
Post by golferdude1994 on Apr 5, 2020 12:26:50 GMT -5
Basically what I am gathering here is that optimism and positive futures go out the window, huh? I am not taking this situation any less seriously than most; in fact I have been hinging on the side of most cautious. I am not seeing my older relatives and am only leaving my house once a week for groceries, but let's try to be positive here and look at the numbers of Corona as a stand alone case and not past trends of other pandemics. I double majored in both accounting and economics with a minor in finance. Analysing trends of numbers and projecting bell curves from a sample of data is my forte. I am not saying to lose vigilance in this situation, in fact these next two weeks are the most testing thus far, but in 5-6 weeks you all will probably be pleasantly surprised how much progress has been made. I love the optimism. I think it's needed desperately. I am optimistic that what you say is true if everyone is practicing the necessary guidelines. Thanks for the vote of confidence my man. You are a good dude! My parents have always told me that careful optimism is the way to handle crisis's with the emphasis on careful. So I am implementing this method now. Optimism is the best medicine.
|
|